This is the text of my keynote speech at the 34th Chaos Communication Congress in Leipzig, December You can also watch it on YouTube, but it runs to about 45 minutes. As a working science fiction novelist, I take a professional interest in how we get predictions about the future wrong, and why, so that I can avoid repeating the same mistakes.
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Publishers Jump to Services: This survey has no authority other than my own ornery wish to help aspiring writers make progress; I'm really a writer, not a surveyor.